RTL's minority shareholders are right to seek more money
Edited by Hugo Dixon
Who can blame the minority shareholders in RTL for resisting Bertelsmann's
44 euro ($39.24) a share offer? With a new $6.75 billion (7.58 billion
euros) receipt from AOL Time Warner in the Guetersloh war chest, it
is natural that the minorities should seek a larger share of Bertelsmann's
bounty.
Not that 44 euros a share is unfair. It values RTL at an adequate
13 times forecast 2002 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation
and amortization, or Ebitda, and Pearson succeeded in wringing out
an 8% mark-up to market value. But even if the minorities are overdoing
the outrage at the Bertelsmann offer, they are right to think there
is scope for a better deal. Not only are the German group's coffers
overflowing with cash. Last February, Bertelsmann paid for Groupe
Bruxelles Lambert's stake in RTL with its own shares, in a ratio of
5 to 6. Bertelsmann is probably worth about 25 billion euros, so a
deal like that would give minorities 135 euros of value a share, over
three times the current offer.
Bertelsmann is already locked in litigation over last year's GBL
deal with Audiolux and BGL, which together own about 1.3%. They argue
that under European Union law, they should be offered the same terms
GBL received, and the local securities regulator appears to have agreed
with them. Now the small shareholders are coming to join the legal
fray. As well as demanding Bertelsmann shares, they have a new cause
of action that alleges bad faith on Bertelsmann's part. When RTL listed
in London, the prospectus promised to increase the free float to 15%.
Managers reiterated this commitment as recently as September 2001.
Shareholders who bought -- or decided to hold -- since then feel misled.
Bertelsmann now has to take a view on these legal arguments. The minorities
might just be holding an ace. Even if they are doomed to fail in court
eventually, a lingering litigious rump could present a nuisance factor
Bertelsmann would rather pay to get shot of. But the cost to Bertelsmann
of any concession would be high, since it must extend it to Pearson,
too. Its 44 euros offer will not formally start until February. Between
now and then, a lot will ride on the RTL board's recommendation to
its shareholders of where their interests really lie.
Wall Street Journal 11.01.02
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